MON 2/23: UGI – CALLING A FINAL SELL SIGNAL @ $37.66 -0.7%

1:17 PM – Shares are making new recent lows as selling pressure resumes. The hopeful recovery from the earnings-driven sell-off has faded. Technically, the stock is now forming lower highs and trading back below its key moving averages — clear signs of deterioration. Calling a FINAL SELL SIGNAL here.

SELL SIGNALS:
2/23 (1/3) @ $37.66 -0.7%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: When Recovery Attempts Fail, Exit

• Failed post-earnings recoveries often lead to renewed weakness.

• Lower highs signal a developing downtrend.

• Trading back below major moving averages confirms technical damage.

• Small losses are part of disciplined capital management.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

WED 1/21: UGI – CALLING A BUY SIGNAL (1/3) @ $37.91

3:24 PM – Shares are breaking out of a short-term downtrend that began after the late-November highs near $40.00. While volume today is tracking near normal levels, it has expanded meaningfully compared to the past several sessions, signaling improving participation. There is noted resistance near $39.00, which will be an important level to monitor as price approaches that next technical hurdle.

BUY SIGNALS:
1/21 (1/3) @ $37.91

The annotations on the chart below highlight a well-executed prior TrendLine BreakOuts trade that followed ULTRA rules precisely — both on the way up and on the way out.

  • The initial BUY SIGNAL was triggered as UGI emerged from its base and reclaimed key moving averages, positioning the trade early in the move.

  • As price advanced and became extended, partial SELL SIGNALS were executed methodically, locking in gains while momentum was still favorable.

  • The FINAL SELL SIGNAL occurred as price action began to deteriorate and upside momentum faded, closing out the position near strength rather than waiting for damage.

That sequence produced a clean, profitable swing trade, and — just as importantly — capital was not forced back into the stock once the move ended.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

Following the final exit, UGI entered a period of technical repair:

  • Price moved into a downward consolidation, working below short-term trendlines.

  • The 10 DMA rolled over, and rallies failed to regain momentum.

  • These conditions did not justify re-entry, even though the prior trade was a winner.

This restraint is critical.

ULTRA does not recycle capital into former winners simply because they worked before. Re-entries are earned only when:

  • A downtrend is broken

  • Momentum begins to reassert itself

  • Risk can once again be clearly defined

The current 1/21 BUY SIGNAL reflects that shift. The stock has now broken its short-term downtrend, participation has improved, and price behavior is once again actionable. This is not a chase — it is a technically warranted re-engagement.

Key takeaway:
Strong performance is not just about catching winners — it’s about knowing when to step aside and when conditions truly justify coming back in.

TUE 1/6: UGI – FINAL PROFIT TAKING SELL SIGNAL @ $37.48 +9.91%

9:57 AM – The 10 DMA is clearly acting as firm resistance and has begun to roll over. That confirms waning momentum and justifies calling a 3RD and FINAL PROFIT-TAKING SELL SIGNAL this morning, closing the position.

SELL SIGNALS:
11/24 (1/3) @ $37.56 +10.1%
12/4 (1/3) @ $37.40 +9.7%
1/6 (1/3) @ $37.48 +9.91%

OVERALL PROFIT: +9.9%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: Resistance Ends Trades

  • When the 10 DMA flips from support to resistance, momentum has changed.

  • Multiple failures at a declining 10 DMA are a signal to finish the trade, not debate it.

  • Locking in gains on rule breaks preserves both capital and confidence.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

THU 12/4: UGI – CALLING A 2ND SELL SIGNAL @ $37.40 +9.7%

3:58 PM – Taking some more profits here as the stock breaks below its 10 DMA. Locking in gains while momentum shows early signs of weakening.

SELL SIGNALS:
11/24 (1/3) @ $37.56 +10.2%
12/4 (1/3) @ $37.40 +9.68%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: Take Strength Before It Fades

  • A break below the 10 DMA is often the first indication momentum is shifting.

  • Taking profits into early weakness protects gains built on prior strength.

  • Reducing exposure keeps you disciplined and ready for cleaner opportunities.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

 


James had served as Editor-in-Chief of the first independently licensed website to offer stock reports and services based on the CAN SLIM® investment system.

Since the late 1990s, he has been analyzing growth stocks and providing investor-focused research rooted in time-tested technical strategies. Over the years, James developed a strong ability to quickly and accurately identify high-ranked trading candidates using this proven approach.

He has worked with a wide range of investors — from professional money managers to individual traders — helping them apply this disciplined system in real-world markets.

James has delivered weekly market commentary as part of the “Your Money Matters” radio program, broadcast on both ABC and CBS radio networks, and for a time was a daily guest on the Investor’s Edge radio program.

Today, he is the developer and founder of U L T R A — a robust yet easy-to-use trading system built to identify and manage high-probability stock trades based on strict technical rules and real-time alerts.

MON 11/24: UGI – CALLING A 1ST SELL SIGNAL @ $37.56 +10.2%

10:03 AM – Calling a quick profit-taking SELL SIGNAL here as earnings volatility continues.

SELL SIGNAL:
11/24 @ $37.56 +10.2%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: Take Profits Into Strength

  • Locking in gains when a stock extends quickly protects capital and confidence.

  • Strength during earnings volatility can fade fast — disciplined trims reduce risk.

  • Taking profits creates flexibility to rotate into stronger, higher-ranked opportunities.

CLICK/TAP CHART TO ZOOM
Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

 


James had served as Editor-in-Chief of the first independently licensed website to offer stock reports and services based on the CAN SLIM® investment system.

Since the late 1990s, he has been analyzing growth stocks and providing investor-focused research rooted in time-tested technical strategies. Over the years, James developed a strong ability to quickly and accurately identify high-ranked trading candidates using this proven approach.

He has worked with a wide range of investors — from professional money managers to individual traders — helping them apply this disciplined system in real-world markets.

James has delivered weekly market commentary as part of the “Your Money Matters” radio program, broadcast on both ABC and CBS radio networks, and for a time was a daily guest on the Investor’s Edge radio program.

Today, he is the developer and founder of U L T R A — a robust yet easy-to-use trading system built to identify and manage high-probability stock trades based on strict technical rules and real-time alerts.