WED 2/25: NPO – CALLING A 3RD SELL SIGNAL @ $269.32 +13.7%

3:44 PM – After breaking below the 10 DMA yesterday, shares are now making new recent lows this afternoon. That confirms the technical deterioration. I’m calling a 3rd and FINAL SELL SIGNAL here before the close.

SELL SIGNALS:
1/28 (1/3) @ $235.50 -0.6%
2/12 (1/3) @ $282.00 +19.0%
2/25 (1/3) @ $269.32 +13.7%

OVERALL P/L: +10.7%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: Respect the 10 DMA Violation

• A break below the 10 DMA is a clear shift in short-term momentum.

• When price fails to reclaim that line and instead makes new recent lows, the character has changed.

• Selling into strength protects gains; selling into weakness prevents larger givebacks.

• Discipline means finishing the exit when the final signal appears — not hoping for a rebound.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

THU 2/12: NPO – CALLING A 2ND SELL SIGNAL @ $282.00 +19.0%

10:21 AM – Shares continue to advance this morning; however, volume is running well below average as price becomes increasingly extended from the 10 DMA. Light-volume gains combined with extension from support warrant prudent profit-taking. Calling a 2ND SELL SIGNAL here.

SELL SIGNALS:
1/28 (1/3) @ $235.50 –0.6%
2/12 (1/3) @ $282.00 +19.0%

OVERALL P/L (ON SOLD SHARES): +9.2%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: Beware of Extended Moves on Light Volume

• Gains without strong volume lack institutional conviction.

• The farther price stretches from the 10 DMA, the greater the pullback risk.

• Scaling out into strength protects gains while momentum is still favorable.

• Strong trades are managed proactively — not reactively.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.

WED 1/28: NPO – CALLING A 1ST SELL SIGNAL @ $235.50 -0.6%

3:52 PM – Shares dropped below the 10 DMA this afternoon, triggering an initial SELL SIGNAL as short-term momentum failed.

SELL SIGNALS:
1/28 (1/3) @ $235.50 –0.6%

ULTRA Trader’s Tip: First Signals Are Warnings

  • The 10 DMA is the earliest momentum checkpoint.

  • Initial breaks often precede deeper weakness if ignored.

  • Acting early keeps losses small and manageable.

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Chart services courtesy of stockcharts.com. Annotations by James Taulman.